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Position of the Day 12-9-23 - ++

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 11 January 2024, at 7:11 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 12-9-23 (Stick)

If we notice a couple things and the right Stickism comes to mind, we might be able to find this play. What we need to notice is:

• We are significantly up in the race
• The roll plays like 3 day old rat poop (otherwise)
• The opponent still only has 8 in the zone
• We currently hold an anchor, the 22pt, that I generally loathe

See the variants below to see the difference it makes when we hold the 21pt anchor or there are more checkers in the zone and therefore our race lead is decreased.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 152 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 139 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BB-C-C---fC---b-db-B---:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 51

1.	XG Roller++	22/16	eq: +0.206
	Player: Opponent: 54.74% (G:15.91% B:0.61%) 45.26% (G:11.24% B:0.38%)
2.	XG Roller++	22/21 13/8	eq: +0.160 (-0.046)
	Player: Opponent: 52.44% (G:18.29% B:0.76%) 47.56% (G:11.60% B:0.43%)
3.	XG Roller++	22/21 8/3	eq: +0.149 (-0.057)
	Player: Opponent: 51.79% (G:18.94% B:0.62%) 48.21% (G:11.93% B:0.50%)
4.	XG Roller++	22/21 6/1*	eq: +0.147 (-0.059)
	Player: Opponent: 51.97% (G:18.95% B:0.41%) 48.03% (G:11.09% B:0.50%)
5.	XG Roller++	8/7 6/1*	eq: +0.120 (-0.086)
	Player: Opponent: 50.83% (G:19.43% B:0.27%) 49.17% (G:10.31% B:0.45%)

---

Variant with 21pt anchor

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 152 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 137 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BB-C-C---fC---b-dbB----:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 51

1.	XG Roller++	8/7 6/1*	eq: +0.314
	Player: Opponent: 54.96% (G:20.81% B:0.25%) 45.04% (G:8.08% B:0.34%)
2.	XG Roller++	8/2	eq: +0.266 (-0.048)
	Player: Opponent: 54.68% (G:17.87% B:0.30%) 45.32% (G:7.54% B:0.28%)
3.	XG Roller++	13/7	eq: +0.262 (-0.052)
	Player: Opponent: 54.01% (G:17.93% B:0.32%) 45.99% (G:6.59% B:0.24%)
4.	XG Roller++	21/15	eq: +0.199 (-0.115)
	Player: Opponent: 54.74% (G:15.21% B:0.57%) 45.26% (G:10.85% B:0.38%)

---

Variant with another checker in the zone

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 147 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 139 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BB-C-C---eC---c-db-B---:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 51

1.	XG Roller++	22/16	eq: +0.033
	Player: Opponent: 50.69% (G:13.95% B:0.54%) 49.31% (G:12.69% B:0.41%)
2.	XG Roller++	8/7 6/1*	eq: -0.001 (-0.035)
	Player: Opponent: 48.09% (G:16.77% B:0.22%) 51.91% (G:10.82% B:0.47%)
3.	XG Roller++	22/21 6/1*	eq: -0.035 (-0.068)
	Player: Opponent: 48.08% (G:16.33% B:0.35%) 51.92% (G:13.09% B:0.61%)
4.	XG Roller++	22/21 13/8	eq: -0.036 (-0.069)
	Player: Opponent: 48.14% (G:15.21% B:0.59%) 51.86% (G:13.16% B:0.46%)
5.	XG Roller++	13/7	eq: -0.050 (-0.084)
	Player: Opponent: 46.86% (G:14.56% B:0.30%) 53.14% (G:9.21% B:0.36%)

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 12-9-23
  Stick -- Monday, 8 January 2024, at 6:35 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 12-9-23
    Ian Shaw -- Thursday, 11 January 2024, at 2:43 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 12-9-23 - ++
    Stick -- Thursday, 11 January 2024, at 7:11 p.m.