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Position of the Day 02-06-24 - Rollout Chickens

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 14 February 2024, at 4:10 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 02-06-24 (Stick)

I was sure there would be plenty of takers for this cube given the player being doubled offensive position and duplication of sixes. The five blots scattered around isn't too bad as sixes are duplicated for one of the blots and two other blots are so deep in the opp's home board they are essentially unreachable in the near future and will likely form deep anchors. The disconnection of the entire army is what really drives this home as a pass as even if we were to take and anchor up quickly it's hard to play when three of your checkers are stuck back totally disconnected from the other twelve.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 144
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaaABBB--BAA-B-abbabbbA-A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 67.22% (G:37.26% B:5.17%) 67.22% (G:38.44% B:6.03%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 32.78% (G:9.39% B:0.85%) 32.78% (G:9.39% B:0.90%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.666 +1.372
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.769 (-0.231)±0.018 (+0.752..+0.787)
Double/Take:+1.106 (+0.106)±0.033 (+1.074..+1.139)
Double/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 37156240
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 26 seconds

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