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Position of the Day 02-15-24 - Which Hit? - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 24 February 2024, at 5:47 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 02-15-24 - Which Hit? (Stick)

It's important to note the difference between not enough checkers off to take an upcoming immediate cube when hit (4 or less), an efficient cube (5 off), and a cube we can take easily (6 or more off). Rollouts of variants below.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 92 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 23 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-GBaa-B------------bcbcba-:1:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.	Rollout1	6/4* 6/3*	eq: +0.136
	Player: Opponent: 52.53% (G:23.00% B:0.20%) 47.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.133...+0.139) - [100.0%] Duration: 1.2 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/4* 4/1	eq: +0.091 (-0.045)
	Player: Opponent: 55.37% (G:19.15% B:0.06%) 44.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.087...+0.095) - [0.0%] Duration: 1.4 seconds
3.	Rollout1	6/3* 3/1	eq: +0.076 (-0.060)
	Player: Opponent: 55.63% (G:17.19% B:0.05%) 44.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.072...+0.080) - [0.0%] Duration: 1.3 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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Variant 1 - 5 off

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 92 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 22 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-FBaa-B------------bcbcba-:1:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.	Rollout1	6/4* 6/3*	eq: +0.229
	Player: Opponent: 54.74% (G:29.14% B:0.55%) 45.26% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.225...+0.233) - [100.0%] Duration: 1.8 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/4* 4/1	eq: +0.215 (-0.014)
	Player: Opponent: 59.18% (G:23.69% B:0.12%) 40.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.209...+0.221) - [0.0%] Duration: 2.1 seconds
3.	Rollout1	6/3* 3/1	eq: +0.203 (-0.026)
	Player: Opponent: 59.45% (G:21.54% B:0.09%) 40.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.198...+0.209) - [0.0%] Duration: 2.1 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

---

Variant 2 - 6 off

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 92 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 21 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-EBaa-B------------bcbcba-:1:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.	Rollout1	6/4* 4/1	eq: +0.424
	Player: Opponent: 63.80% (G:29.85% B:0.32%) 36.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.420...+0.428) - [100.0%] Duration: 1.6 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/3* 3/1	eq: +0.407 (-0.017)
	Player: Opponent: 63.99% (G:28.18% B:0.25%) 36.01% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.401...+0.412) - [0.0%] Duration: 1.7 seconds
3.	Rollout1	6/4* 6/3*	eq: +0.332 (-0.092)
	Player: Opponent: 57.56% (G:32.97% B:0.87%) 42.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.327...+0.336) - [0.0%] Duration: 2.0 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 02-15-24 - Which Hit?
  Stick -- Tuesday, 20 February 2024, at 8:33 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-15-24 - Which Hit?
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 20 February 2024, at 10:46 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 02-15-24 - Which Hit?
      Stick -- Tuesday, 20 February 2024, at 11:18 p.m.
      • Position of the Day 02-15-24 - Which Hit?
        Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 21 February 2024, at 1:04 a.m.
        • Position of the Day 02-15-24 - Which Hit?
          Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 21 February 2024, at 3:46 a.m.
          • Position of the Day 02-15-24 - Which Hit?
            Ian Terry -- Wednesday, 21 February 2024, at 7:36 a.m.
        • Position of the Day 02-15-24 - Which Hit?
          christian munk-christensen -- Wednesday, 21 February 2024, at 9:22 p.m.
          • Position of the Day 02-15-24 - Which Hit?
            Bob Koca -- Thursday, 22 February 2024, at 1:40 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-15-24 - Which Hit? - Rollout
    Stick -- Saturday, 24 February 2024, at 5:47 p.m.