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Position of the Day 02-16-24 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 24 February 2024, at 6:28 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 02-16-24 (Stick)

We had a DP and two NRD/T. Quite the variety for the few responses + quality of the posters. I ran this rollout on higher settings, +/+, and it came back a bigger pass but still nothing crazy. (~1.040) I would say this is a take versus a human as your side is virtually forced the rest of the game and they will have a lot of actual decisions.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 71
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 168
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--BBBB----A-A-----ccBCec-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.00% (G:18.24% B:0.63%) 74.93% (G:19.10% B:0.81%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.00% (G:13.25% B:0.15%) 25.07% (G:12.77% B:0.15%)
Cubeless Equities +0.535 +1.137
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.932 (-0.068)±0.007 (+0.925..+0.939)
Redouble/Take:+1.008 (+0.008)±0.009 (+0.999..+1.017)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:96.6%
Duration: 3 minutes 09 seconds

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