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Mis-Match

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 1 March 2024, at 7:13 a.m.

In Response To: Mis-Match (juggler)

Few people seem to want to answer anymore so until that happens here's my 2 cents. If we recube it's for the match for both players meaning the take point is the same as what the equity is if we were to pass. Here that means if we drop it will be 3a2a aka 40%. Obviously this is wildly high and makes this an easy cube as we're clear favorites in this position.

We have a 12 pip lead on roll in a race to a tad less than 100 pips. There's not a ton of good contact left for the player considering the take/pass decision. If it was a straight race for money it would be a pass. The contact and recube vig I'm sure that makes it a take for money however it doesn't come anywhere near what we need to consider taking AtS.

I also think for money I'd wait a turn and either try to safety my blot or gain a little bit in the race. It isn't often we lose our market and since it's a recube I think we can creep a little higher up on the win % scale before cubing.

Stick

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