Nobody replied because no snazzy title? Too easy? So easy it might be too hard? OtB this certainly wasn't a next to me even though XG says there is one play and one play only. I made the right play but was way more wishy washy than I should have been apparently. Down so far in the race and not solidifying our board were the obvious strikes against anchoring out. The increased long term contact though and turning some of the opp's rolls ugly along with our lone blot not really being under much fire argued for anchoring out. Normally these decisions come when we hold the 20pt anchor and roll [22] or the 21pt anchor and roll [33]. The 22pt anchor is so bad it's probably safe to come to the 18pt in almost all situations without giving it too much thought.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/18 22/18 | eq: -0.680 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.46% (G:5.88% B:0.18%)
67.54% (G:15.12% B:0.30%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.697...-0.664) - [100.0%]
Duration: 42.5 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 10/4 6/2 | eq: -0.764 (-0.084) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.61% (G:4.71% B:0.13%)
70.39% (G:10.66% B:0.31%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.777...-0.752) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33.2 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 10/4 8/4 | eq: -0.769 (-0.089) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.28% (G:4.48% B:0.12%)
70.72% (G:10.33% B:0.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.783...-0.755) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31.4 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 24/18 8/4 | eq: -0.773 (-0.092) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.16% (G:4.26% B:0.12%)
70.84% (G:10.01% B:0.20%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.785...-0.760) - [0.0%]
Duration: 41.1 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 24/20 10/4 | eq: -0.775 (-0.094) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.11% (G:4.02% B:0.11%)
70.89% (G:9.62% B:0.18%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.788...-0.761) - [0.0%]
Duration: 41.8 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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