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Hit or Anchor 31 Unlimited (No Jacoby)

Posted By: colin owen
Date: Saturday, 2 March 2024, at 5:45 p.m.

In Response To: Hit or Anchor 31 Unlimited (No Jacoby) (Stick)

Close, but no cigar:





White is XG Roller++

score: 0
pip: 127
Unlimited Game
Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Colin G. Owen
XGID=-----BEbB-A-aC---cbeb-A-A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:2:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout124/21 13/12* eq: -0.5076
Player:
Opponent:		38.36% (G:9.59% B:0.44%)
61.64% (G:22.98% B:1.91%)		Conf.: ±0.0024 (-0.5100...-0.5051) - [50.2%]
Duration: 2 hours 24 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 22/21eq: -0.5076
Player:
Opponent:		35.45% (G:6.14% B:0.23%)
64.55% (G:10.20% B:0.30%)		Conf.: ±0.0018 (-0.5094...-0.5057) - [49.8%]
Duration: 1 hour 57 minutes
3.Rollout213/12* 12/9eq: -0.5720 (-0.0645)
Player:
Opponent:		36.78% (G:10.36% B:0.44%)
63.22% (G:23.44% B:1.92%)		Conf.: ±0.0141 (-0.5861...-0.5579) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 27 seconds
4.Rollout213/10 13/12* eq: -0.6102 (-0.1026)
Player:
Opponent:		35.39% (G:9.01% B:0.38%)
64.61% (G:20.51% B:1.48%)		Conf.: ±0.0141 (-0.6243...-0.5961) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 19 seconds
5.Rollout213/12* 6/3eq: -0.7025 (-0.1950)
Player:
Opponent:		35.88% (G:9.89% B:0.43%)
64.12% (G:27.43% B:3.25%)		Conf.: ±0.0217 (-0.7242...-0.6809) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 25 seconds
6.Rollout213/10 6/5eq: -0.8723 (-0.3648)
Player:
Opponent:		31.80% (G:7.10% B:0.23%)
68.20% (G:25.55% B:0.80%)		Conf.: ±0.0177 (-0.8900...-0.8547) - [0.0%]
Duration: 42.4 seconds
7.Rollout222/21 13/10eq: -0.8806 (-0.3730)
Player:
Opponent:		31.54% (G:6.97% B:0.27%)
68.46% (G:25.02% B:0.95%)		Conf.: ±0.0163 (-0.8969...-0.8643) - [0.0%]
Duration: 43.8 seconds
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 30321784
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 30321784
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I thought I'd post this as it may qualify as one of those definitive benchmark positions, where you make small adjustments that drastically alter the right play. And I guess more of these - including especially those positions where the obvious OTB play is actually the best one in the RO - might offset the powerful QF effect.

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