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Position of the Day 02-25-24 - Anchor or hit two - Rollout
Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 5 March 2024, at 6:41 p.m.
In Response To: Position of the Day 02-25-24 - Anchor or hit two (Stick)
So hitting two actually isn't the dmp play but given the plays are so close it's no surprise the gammons win out for money. In these types of situations my personal default is to hit two unless there's an obvious desperate need for the anchor.
         
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 133 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 159
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=----cCDC----bB--a--babbbBA:1:1:1:54:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 54 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/20* 20/16* | eq: +0.381 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.18% (G:20.60% B:0.90%)
44.82% (G:15.01% B:0.85%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.374...+0.387) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/20* 24/20 | eq: +0.364 (-0.017) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.22% (G:15.93% B:0.62%)
44.78% (G:11.59% B:0.43%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.358...+0.370) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 46 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
DMP
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 133 | | 1 point match | pip: 159
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=----cCDC----bB--a--babbbBA:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:1:10 |
| Blue to play 54 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/20* 24/20 | eq: +0.105 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.27% (G:18.37% B:1.30%)
44.73% (G:12.94% B:1.19%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.103...+0.108) - [99.9%]
Duration: 3 minutes 11 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/20* 20/16* | eq: +0.099 (-0.006) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.95% (G:23.40% B:1.93%)
45.05% (G:15.38% B:2.55%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.096...+0.102) - [0.1%]
Duration: 3 minutes 28 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
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