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Bot Battle #3 Rollout

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Sunday, 17 March 2024, at 11:17 p.m.

In Response To: Bot Battle #3 (Jason Lee)





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 176
9 point match
pip: 134
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBbBBBB-----e-A--A-ebB-A--:1:-1:1:52:0:1:0:9:10
Blue to play 52

1.Rollout121/14eq: +0.720
Player:
Opponent:
72.94% (G:35.77% B:1.75%)
27.06% (G:3.95% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.713...+0.727) - [99.7%]
Duration: 20 minutes 46 seconds
2.Rollout117/10eq: +0.707 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
72.29% (G:36.20% B:1.69%)
27.71% (G:4.06% B:0.28%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.700...+0.714) - [0.3%]
Duration: 20 minutes 11 seconds
3.Rollout117/15 14/9eq: +0.698 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
72.07% (G:35.87% B:1.65%)
27.93% (G:4.17% B:0.19%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.691...+0.704) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 30 seconds
4.Rollout123/18 17/15eq: +0.683 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:
72.45% (G:33.67% B:1.51%)
27.55% (G:4.25% B:0.22%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.676...+0.690) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 42 seconds
5.Rollout123/21 14/9eq: +0.682 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:
72.09% (G:34.45% B:1.59%)
27.91% (G:4.22% B:0.29%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.675...+0.689) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 22 seconds
6.Rollout123/16eq: +0.678 (-0.042)
Player:
Opponent:
72.27% (G:33.87% B:1.51%)
27.73% (G:4.42% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.671...+0.685) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 18 seconds
7.Rollout121/16 17/15eq: +0.655 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:
71.01% (G:35.24% B:1.69%)
28.99% (G:5.11% B:0.43%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.647...+0.662) - [0.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 45 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

I have no good sense of where I want to put my checkers, nor why this isn't one of those throwaway positions where the equities of the top eleventeen plays are within 0.005 of each other. In every variation I explored, making the 14 point was the way to go.

JLee

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