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BGonline.org Forums
Bot Battle #5 Rollout
Posted By: Jason Lee In Response To: Bot Battle #5 (Jason Lee)
Date: Wednesday, 20 March 2024, at 11:18 p.m.
White is Player 2
score: 3
pip: 1609 point match pip: 159
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-aa-B-C-C--BcCa-ac-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:3:0:9:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 60.90% (G:20.62% B:1.30%) 61.07% (G:20.70% B:1.35%) Opponent Winning Chances: 39.10% (G:11.38% B:0.69%) 38.93% (G:11.58% B:0.70%) Cubeless Equities +0.299 +0.647 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.546 ±0.018 (+0.528..+0.564) Double/Take: +0.508 (-0.039) ±0.021 (+0.487..+0.528) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.454) Best Cube action: No double / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 7.8% Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 99.7% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 15 minutes 55 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
I have been missing cubes lately, so I am actively looking to not miss any. I had a sneaking suspicion this was close, and possibly not a cube, but I would rather throw it early anyway. Chuck didn't want to cube, he said if we were trailing -5/-9, he would do it. At that score, it's a cube. I strong armed him into cubing, and I have no regrets.
JLee
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