                          |
| ||||
| XGID=-a-BCBB-A---aBa--cbcbb--C-:1:-1:-1:00:0:3:0:9:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 79.73% (G:30.75% B:4.54%) | 79.23% (G:31.64% B:9.09%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 20.27% (G:3.55% B:0.19%) | 20.77% (G:3.77% B:0.28%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.902 | +1.314 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No redouble: | +0.963 | ±0.008 (+0.955..+0.971) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.943 (-0.020) | ±0.014 (+0.929..+0.957) |
 Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.037) | |
| Best Cube action: No redouble / Take | ||
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 35.1% | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 80411969 First 6 moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++ Remaining moves and cube decisions: 4-ply | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 99.2% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 17 hours 02 minutes | ||
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
Like Bob, Chuck and I thought this was a play on, and we were (a) surprised to get cubed and (b) more surprised it's a take.
There are fundamental limits to what I am capable of getting right in backgammon, and this is beyond those limits. Yes, yes, match score, some counterpriming going on... doesn't matter. I will never get this one right. Give me the same position in a month, and I will get it wrong again.
JLee