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Position of the Day 03-16-24 - 5pt or Hit - Rollout
Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 29 March 2024, at 8:40 p.m.
In Response To: Position of the Day 03-16-24 - 5pt or Hit (Stick)
We had one vote each way. One of the details I've mentioned more and more lately is paying attention to where the stacks are and playing to unstack. We can see in the variant that the 5pt is the 5pt either way but at least looking to the stacks would have kept us from making a blunder here and led us to a much smaller error at worst in the variant.
         
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 153 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 166
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a----E-Ca--eD---bBd-b--A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 31 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/5 6/5 | eq: +0.098 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.90% (G:14.37% B:0.45%)
48.10% (G:11.17% B:0.42%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.083...+0.113) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 05 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/9* | eq: +0.004 (-0.094) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.26% (G:12.78% B:0.45%)
49.74% (G:13.21% B:0.51%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.011...+0.020) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 10 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Variant
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 153 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 173
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a----D-Ca--eE---bBd-b--A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 31 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/5 6/5 | eq: -0.004 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.96% (G:12.17% B:0.42%)
50.04% (G:12.78% B:0.45%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.019...+0.012) - [99.9%]
Duration: 1 minute 24 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/9* | eq: -0.042 (-0.038) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.32% (G:12.01% B:0.49%)
50.68% (G:13.86% B:0.51%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.060...-0.025) - [0.1%]
Duration: 1 minute 22 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
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