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Rollout + cusp variant

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 30 March 2024, at 1:45 p.m.

In Response To: Too risky to hit? (Timothy Chow)

XG agrees with JOH, but see also the variant below.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 125 Unlimited Game pip: 157 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---BBaBbC--BA-a--b-cbbb-BA:1:1:1:62:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 62

1.	Rollout1	Bar/23 12/6	eq: -0.683
	Player: Opponent: 23.44% (G:5.48% B:0.23%) 76.56% (G:27.53% B:2.36%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.690...-0.675) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 18 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/23 11/5*	eq: -0.770 (-0.088)
	Player: Opponent: 27.04% (G:7.03% B:0.38%) 72.96% (G:40.48% B:8.53%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.782...-0.758) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 40 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---

Variant:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 125 Unlimited Game pip: 154 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---BBaBbCA-B--a--b-cbbb-BA:1:1:1:62:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 62

1.	Rollout1	Bar/23 11/5*	eq: -0.758
	Player: Opponent: 26.88% (G:7.10% B:0.38%) 73.12% (G:39.49% B:8.30%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.766...-0.750) - [54.6%] Duration: 7 minutes 52 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/23 9/3	eq: -0.759 (-0.001)
	Player: Opponent: 21.28% (G:4.73% B:0.19%) 78.72% (G:28.67% B:2.38%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.764...-0.753) - [45.4%] Duration: 6 minutes 42 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

Messages In This Thread

• Too risky to hit?
  Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 27 March 2024, at 1:43 p.m.
  • Too risky to hit?
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 27 March 2024, at 2:49 p.m.
  • Too risky to hit?
    Bob Koca -- Thursday, 28 March 2024, at 6:26 a.m.
  • Rollout + cusp variant
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 30 March 2024, at 1:45 p.m.