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PotD 03-16-24 - "4pt or Hit" - Variant and Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 31 March 2024, at 7:29 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-16-24 - 5pt or Hit - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 166
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-Ca--eD---bBd-b--A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.038
Player:
Opponent:		50.49% (G:13.42% B:0.43%)
49.51% (G:11.25% B:0.40%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.025...+0.051) - [100.0%]
Duration: 47 minutes 33 seconds
2.Rollout113/11 13/9* eq: -0.005 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		50.03% (G:13.70% B:0.52%)
49.97% (G:14.63% B:0.61%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.020...+0.010) - [0.0%]
Duration: 49 minutes 35 seconds
3.Rollout124/22 13/9* eq: -0.027 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		49.63% (G:12.65% B:0.49%)
50.37% (G:14.06% B:0.54%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.042...-0.013) - [0.0%]
Duration: 48 minutes 15 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48802333
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Even with 42, it's better not to hit.

Nack

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