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Rollout + variant, or: What good is a dilly-builder?
Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 3 April 2024, at 1:41 p.m.
In Response To: Hit, and then what? (Timothy Chow)
XG strongly favors the bold slotting play, but see the variant, in which Blue does not have a dilly-builder on his 4pt.
         
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 101 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 115
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--B-C-CCaB-a----bb-cbBaba-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 9/8* 7/5 | eq: +0.091 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.10% (G:18.62% B:0.85%)
49.90% (G:16.56% B:0.63%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.079...+0.102) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 14 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 9/8* 8/6 | eq: +0.009 (-0.081) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.89% (G:13.83% B:0.54%)
51.11% (G:9.03% B:0.33%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.002...+0.020) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 9/8* 4/2 | eq: +0.005 (-0.086) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.58% (G:14.31% B:0.57%)
51.42% (G:10.10% B:0.37%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.005...+0.015) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 42 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 9/7 9/8* | eq: -0.031 (-0.122) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.18% (G:13.27% B:0.55%)
51.82% (G:9.62% B:0.38%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.042...-0.020) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 48 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Variant:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 101 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 117
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--B-B-DCaB-a----bb-cbBaba-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 9/8* 7/5 | eq: +0.134 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.56% (G:18.76% B:0.97%)
48.44% (G:17.30% B:0.62%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.126...+0.142) - [79.8%]
Duration: 4 minutes 05 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 9/8* 6/4 | eq: +0.129 (-0.005) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 51.94% (G:15.52% B:0.68%)
48.06% (G:9.22% B:0.37%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.121...+0.138) - [20.2%]
Duration: 4 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Messages In This Thread
- Hit, and then what?
Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 30 March 2024, at 1:47 p.m.
- Hit, and then what?
John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 31 March 2024, at 1:09 p.m.
- Rollout + variant, or: What good is a dilly-builder?
Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 3 April 2024, at 1:41 p.m.
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