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Position of the Day 03-20-24 - NR - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 3 April 2024, at 10:49 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-20-24 - NR (Stick)

Like Paul said, if you're on autopilot and do something like make the 5 prime you're getting seriously dinged. It is partially what he said in that we don't want the opponent to make another anchor but also we make the point instead of hit loose on the point because, once again, there is another blot floating around. Remove the opp's blot from his 11pt and put it on the midpoint or the 8pt and now perhaps we hit loose and keep our prime/structure instead of switching. Variant shown below.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 198
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa-bBCB-C---dCa--c-cAA----:1:-1:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout113/7 4/1*(2) eq: +0.680
Player:
Opponent:		68.09% (G:49.80% B:1.80%)
31.91% (G:5.58% B:0.24%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.672...+0.688) - [99.9%]
Duration: 2 minutes 59 seconds
2.Rollout113/10(2) 4/1*(2) eq: +0.660 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:		67.65% (G:48.79% B:1.86%)
32.35% (G:5.72% B:0.23%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.652...+0.668) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 58 seconds
3.Rollout221/18 13/10 4/1*(2) eq: +0.653 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		67.56% (G:48.15% B:1.66%)
32.44% (G:5.58% B:0.26%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.640...+0.667) - [0.1%]
Duration: 55.4 seconds
4.Rollout213/1* eq: +0.635 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:		68.11% (G:44.36% B:1.97%)
31.89% (G:5.28% B:0.23%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.623...+0.647) - [0.0%]
Duration: 59.4 seconds
5.Rollout221/15 4/1*(2) eq: +0.622 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:		66.96% (G:46.38% B:1.55%)
33.04% (G:5.60% B:0.24%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.609...+0.634) - [0.0%]
Duration: 56.5 seconds
6.Rollout213/7(2)eq: +0.523 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:		65.29% (G:38.99% B:2.93%)
34.71% (G:4.75% B:0.25%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.509...+0.536) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 17 seconds
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Variant
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 195
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa-bBCB-C---dC---d-cAA----:1:-1:1:33:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout113/1* eq: +0.555
Player:
Opponent:		68.07% (G:37.07% B:1.35%)
31.93% (G:5.28% B:0.22%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.547...+0.564) - [99.8%]
Duration: 2 minutes 28 seconds
2.Rollout113/10(2) 4/1*(2) eq: +0.538 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		66.38% (G:40.49% B:1.01%)
33.62% (G:5.81% B:0.21%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.529...+0.546) - [0.2%]
Duration: 2 minutes 22 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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