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Variant

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 6 April 2024, at 10:51 p.m.

In Response To: Where to Blot? Rollout (colin owen)

Nice problem. I did consider 13/10 13/7 but rejected it quickly, figuring that White's offensive structure was too strong. See the variant below for comparison.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 133
Unlimited Game
Beaver
pip: 96
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-BCbB-B--BbB---bcbbb----:1:-1:1:63:0:0:2:0:10
Blue to play 63

1.Rollout111/2eq: -0.225
Player:
Opponent:		48.14% (G:6.67% B:0.09%)
51.86% (G:8.66% B:0.33%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.233...-0.217) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 22 seconds
2.Rollout113/4eq: -0.264 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		47.03% (G:4.18% B:0.08%)
52.97% (G:8.56% B:0.30%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.269...-0.258) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 14 seconds
3.Rollout18/2 4/1eq: -0.288 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent:		46.98% (G:6.83% B:0.12%)
53.02% (G:12.44% B:0.64%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.295...-0.282) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 53 seconds
4.Rollout113/10 13/7eq: -0.319 (-0.093)
Player:
Opponent:		44.30% (G:7.77% B:0.08%)
55.70% (G:10.30% B:0.45%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.325...-0.313) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 14 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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