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Position of the Day 03-23-24 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 8 April 2024, at 8:37 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-23-24 (Stick)

It's always a struggle to know which version of a position to post first. The one that came up OtB is the obvious and most honest choice I'd say but for a lot of positions the variants are so much ... idk if better is the word, or more instructive, but something. Here I wish I would have posted the variant (shown below) and seen if John and Bob would have known to swing the checker around instead of making the 5pt. Either way, not a grand error and we all know the variant makes a difference, but OtB it's whether it makes enough of a difference for us to arrive at the other play.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 140
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 141
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----b-E-C-B-bD-Abb-e-b----:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: +0.194
Player:
Opponent:
56.05% (G:5.83% B:0.25%)
43.95% (G:9.09% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.183...+0.206) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 06 seconds
2.Rollout115/11eq: +0.164 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent:
54.73% (G:3.81% B:0.16%)
45.27% (G:6.01% B:0.13%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.153...+0.176) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 02 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Variant





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 142
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 141
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----b-E-C-B-bD-Abb-eb-----:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout115/11eq: +0.176
Player:
Opponent:
55.32% (G:3.69% B:0.14%)
44.68% (G:6.06% B:0.15%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.171...+0.182) - [99.4%]
Duration: 4 minutes 07 seconds
2.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: +0.166 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
55.55% (G:5.44% B:0.22%)
44.45% (G:9.04% B:0.22%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.160...+0.172) - [0.6%]
Duration: 4 minutes 21 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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