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Position of the Day 03-27-24 - Are you scared? - Rollout Scaredy Cats
Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 13 April 2024, at 7:08 p.m.
In Response To: Position of the Day 03-27-24 - Are you scared? (Stick)
So in this position which is not the original position we should be terrified and cut down the number of shots. As you can see in the variants below though (includes original position) I can imagine people being near equally petrified and playing safe when they shouldn't.
        
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 115 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 90
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBBBB-B-B--Abb-AA--bbbbb--:1:-1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 43 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 15/8 | eq: +0.561 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 72.36% (G:24.32% B:0.05%)
27.64% (G:7.19% B:0.15%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.557...+0.564) - [100.0%]
Duration: 14.7 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 15/11 8/5 | eq: +0.483 (-0.078) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.75% (G:35.60% B:0.08%)
32.25% (G:18.26% B:0.97%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.478...+0.487) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11.3 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Variant 1
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 125 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 90
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBBBB-B-B--Abb-AA-bbbbb---:1:-1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 43 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 15/8 | eq: +0.666 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 73.80% (G:30.29% B:0.04%)
26.20% (G:4.21% B:0.12%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.662...+0.669) - [100.0%]
Duration: 38.3 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 15/11 8/5 | eq: +0.657 (-0.009) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 69.90% (G:43.86% B:0.07%)
30.10% (G:11.43% B:0.65%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.653...+0.661) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34.8 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Variant 2 (original)
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 135 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 90
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBBBB-B-B--Abb-AAbbbbb----:1:-1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 43 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 15/11 8/5 | eq: +0.821 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 72.05% (G:53.45% B:0.06%)
27.95% (G:7.08% B:0.37%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.815...+0.826) - [100.0%]
Duration: 28.4 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 15/8 | eq: +0.791 (-0.030) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 75.61% (G:38.59% B:0.04%)
24.39% (G:2.92% B:0.09%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.786...+0.797) - [0.0%]
Duration: 29.8 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
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