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Rollout + variant

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 14 April 2024, at 12:11 a.m.

In Response To: Is seven blots too many blots? (Timothy Chow)

XG says to damn the torpedoes and hit. Even in the variant, the rollout says the hit is tied for first place, although XG 3-ply and XGR+ do not hit.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 132
Unlimited Game
pip: 170
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BB--BAaBab---AbbbcBAbAA-:1:1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 64

1.Rollout120/10* eq: -0.293
Player:
Opponent:		36.38% (G:11.71% B:0.53%)
63.62% (G:24.87% B:3.19%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.307...-0.280) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 40 seconds
2.Rollout124/20 21/15eq: -0.418 (-0.125)
Player:
Opponent:		28.67% (G:5.70% B:0.19%)
71.33% (G:14.13% B:0.46%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.427...-0.410) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 26 seconds
3.Rollout121/15 9/5eq: -0.426 (-0.132)
Player:
Opponent:		30.60% (G:6.10% B:0.20%)
69.40% (G:19.69% B:1.01%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.434...-0.417) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 04 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

Variant:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 132
Unlimited Game
pip: 168
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BB-AB-aBab---AbbbcBAbAA-:1:1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 64

1.Rollout120/10* eq: -0.318
Player:
Opponent:		36.37% (G:11.77% B:0.50%)
63.63% (G:27.10% B:4.02%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.325...-0.312) - [95.7%]
Duration: 21 minutes 47 seconds
2.Rollout121/15 9/5eq: -0.325 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:		32.39% (G:7.13% B:0.19%)
67.61% (G:15.29% B:0.60%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.330...-0.321) - [4.3%]
Duration: 18 minutes 15 seconds
3.Rollout124/20 21/15eq: -0.389 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		29.72% (G:6.04% B:0.17%)
70.28% (G:13.95% B:0.51%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.393...-0.385) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 27 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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