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PotD 03-25-24 - Slugbug blue! - Variants with Rollouts

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 21 April 2024, at 1:54 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-25-24 - Slugbug blue! - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 130
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 201
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a--bD-C---aB---bCbbc-bBA:1:1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.366
Player:
Opponent:		37.92% (G:6.36% B:0.27%)
62.08% (G:31.03% B:4.15%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.379...-0.354) - [100.0%]
Duration: 44.2 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/24 18/12* eq: -0.409 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		36.58% (G:6.35% B:0.33%)
63.42% (G:32.06% B:4.37%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.424...-0.395) - [0.0%]
Duration: 47.1 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Stick's rollout of his original position is above.

Nudge back White's anchor on his 5pt back to his 4pt, and...





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 132
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 201
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a-b-D-C---aB---bCbbc-bBA:1:1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout1Bar/24 18/12* eq: -0.2861
Player:
Opponent:		40.17% (G:8.08% B:0.39%)
59.83% (G:30.37% B:4.46%)		Conf.: ±0.0051 (-0.2912...-0.2810) - [55.1%]
Duration: 5 hours 06 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.2866 (-0.0005)
Player:
Opponent:		39.97% (G:7.54% B:0.35%)
60.03% (G:29.81% B:3.87%)		Conf.: ±0.0049 (-0.2915...-0.2816) - [44.9%]
Duration: 4 hours 55 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 29994704
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Now, move Black's 6pt spare back to his midpoint (see below), and the best-play transformation is complete.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 132
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 208
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a-b-C-C---aC---bCbbc-bBA:1:1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout1Bar/24 18/12* eq: -0.2006
Player:
Opponent:		42.95% (G:8.59% B:0.42%)
57.05% (G:29.40% B:4.33%)		Conf.: ±0.0149 (-0.2155...-0.1857) - [99.2%]
Duration: 46 minutes 28 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/18eq: -0.2274 (-0.0268)
Player:
Opponent:		42.17% (G:7.93% B:0.37%)
57.83% (G:29.99% B:4.20%)		Conf.: ±0.0157 (-0.2431...-0.2116) - [0.8%]
Duration: 45 minutes 50 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 87333052
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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