The size of the equity difference is not necessarily an indication of how obvious the decision should be to a human. (We see the same phenomenon in chess, where supergrandmasters are routinely baffled by what the engine says is a huge point difference. I imagine the same is true in go.)
          
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 146 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 153
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---a--EBC-a-bCa-bc-e--A-A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 31 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/5 6/5 | eq: +0.038 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.88% (G:15.59% B:0.61%)
50.12% (G:11.49% B:0.50%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.026...+0.049) - [77.8%]
Duration: 15 minutes 11 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 22/21 13/10* | eq: +0.031 (-0.006) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.58% (G:15.37% B:0.88%)
49.42% (G:13.78% B:0.75%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.021...+0.042) - [20.6%]
Duration: 16 minutes 35 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/10* 8/7 | eq: +0.021 (-0.017) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.10% (G:15.62% B:0.80%)
49.90% (G:13.91% B:0.68%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.007...+0.034) - [1.7%]
Duration: 15 minutes 51 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release