Thomas wanted some fun with 5/1* being correct. His wish is XG's command.
John's play of 18(2) 11(2) is the dmp play and it's hard to go too wrong in sticking with that.
It's common for double ducks to have many choices. Here I stopped because I was playing XG on my iPad and hit the hint button after I had given things a look. Low and behold, what did XG suggest on 3 ply? 11(3) 5/3!?! A play I had not even considered. Fortunately it doesn't end up in the top spot but I was rooting for it if only to have to figure out why it was correct other than the blindingly obvious duplication of twos.
          
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 161 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 152
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a--BACbB---cE--bb-dBa----:0:0:1:22:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 22 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/11(2) 5/1* | eq: +0.205 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.27% (G:14.59% B:0.42%)
45.73% (G:8.36% B:0.32%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.198...+0.212) - [99.9%]
Duration: 4 minutes 23 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 20/18(2) 13/11(2) | eq: +0.189 (-0.016) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.21% (G:11.02% B:0.37%)
44.79% (G:8.57% B:0.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.182...+0.196) - [0.1%]
Duration: 4 minutes 32 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 13/9(2) | eq: +0.178 (-0.027) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.30% (G:11.68% B:0.37%)
45.70% (G:7.11% B:0.25%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.164...+0.192) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 03 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 13/11(3) 5/3 | eq: +0.177 (-0.028) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.23% (G:12.30% B:0.36%)
45.77% (G:7.45% B:0.30%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.163...+0.190) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 01 second |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | 13/11(2) 13/9 | eq: +0.171 (-0.034) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.07% (G:12.29% B:0.42%)
45.93% (G:7.45% B:0.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.157...+0.185) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 02 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|