The message title chosen was a red herring, which I thought might throw in the opposite of QF. John indeed proposed making the 5 point: if the title helped talk him into this, I apologise. He might not have played this OTB. His play was nonetheless a bit better than mine - 14/11 21/20 - one also chosen by two other posters, I'm pleased to say. Only ah clem even mentioned the best play. Peaver plumped for the clear second best play, which is still about a 0.175 blunder! (It seems around 0.02 worse still, with the Jacoby Rule in place.) The position occurred through near perfect play according to XG; I made a 0.016 error on one play. I can give the sequence if anyone wants it.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/10* 11/10 | eq: +0.3590 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.54% (G:13.33% B:0.56%)
40.46% (G:10.26% B:0.41%) | Conf.: ±0.0061 (+0.3530...+0.3651) - [100.0%]
Duration: 30 minutes 53 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 21/18 11/10* | eq: +0.1847 (-0.1743) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.28% (G:12.60% B:0.61%)
44.72% (G:12.39% B:0.57%) | Conf.: ±0.0057 (+0.1790...+0.1904) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 03 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 11/10* 10/7 | eq: +0.1427 (-0.2163) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.01% (G:12.95% B:0.59%)
45.99% (G:12.29% B:0.51%) | Conf.: ±0.0075 (+0.1352...+0.1502) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 14/10* | eq: +0.1332 (-0.2258) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.69% (G:13.76% B:0.64%)
46.31% (G:12.83% B:0.60%) | Conf.: ±0.0082 (+0.1250...+0.1414) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 11 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | 13/10* 10/9 | eq: +0.1288 (-0.2302) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.66% (G:13.39% B:0.62%)
46.34% (G:12.60% B:0.68%) | Conf.: ±0.0078 (+0.1210...+0.1366) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 01 second |
|
| 6. | Rollout3 | 8/5 6/5 | eq: +0.0873 (-0.2717) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.12% (G:10.51% B:0.45%)
46.88% (G:12.51% B:0.52%) | Conf.: ±0.0104 (+0.0768...+0.0977) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 53 seconds |
|
| 7. | Rollout3 | 14/11 6/5 | eq: +0.0704 (-0.2886) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.80% (G:9.78% B:0.42%)
47.20% (G:11.76% B:0.41%) | Conf.: ±0.0096 (+0.0609...+0.0800) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 45 seconds |
|
| 8. | Rollout3 | 21/20 14/11 | eq: +0.0644 (-0.2946) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.84% (G:9.08% B:0.37%)
47.16% (G:12.50% B:0.40%) | Conf.: ±0.0098 (+0.0546...+0.0742) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 07 seconds |
|
| 9. | Rollout3 | 14/13 11/8 | eq: +0.0451 (-0.3140) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 52.18% (G:8.72% B:0.35%)
47.82% (G:12.21% B:0.33%) | Conf.: ±0.0097 (+0.0354...+0.0548) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 47 seconds |
|
| |
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48310933
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48310933
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
3 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48310933
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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