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Two more Variants with Rollouts

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 4 May 2024, at 8:38 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout + 2 variants (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 88
Unlimited Game
pip: 127
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B--bCBBB-B--------bbbbeB-:1:1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout17/3 7/2eq: +0.054
Player:
Opponent:
46.66% (G:11.50% B:0.42%)
53.34% (G:15.50% B:0.98%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.046...+0.063) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 43 seconds
2.Rollout110/6 10/5eq: -0.045 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:
41.91% (G:9.08% B:0.31%)
58.09% (G:13.26% B:0.58%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.053...-0.037) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 35 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release


Tim's original position is shown above. Breaking the 10pt is a borderline whopper.

If Blue, instead of his 1pt, owns his 2pt or 3pt (see rollouts below), breaking the 10pt goes from whopperish to tied.

See also Tim's variants in nearby post.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 88
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 129
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--B-bCBBB-B--------bbbbeB-:1:1:1:54:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout17/3 7/2eq: +0.060
Player:
Opponent:
46.65% (G:10.70% B:0.41%)
53.35% (G:14.39% B:0.96%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.056...+0.064) - [88.1%]
Duration: 29 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout110/6 10/5eq: +0.056 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
46.03% (G:10.15% B:0.37%)
53.97% (G:13.74% B:0.69%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.052...+0.061) - [11.9%]
Duration: 29 minutes 38 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 42131781
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 88
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 131
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---BbCBBB-B--------bbbbeB-:1:1:1:54:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout17/3 7/2eq: +0.191
Player:
Opponent:
50.58% (G:12.49% B:0.49%)
49.42% (G:12.74% B:0.78%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.187...+0.196) - [90.8%]
Duration: 33 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout110/6 10/5eq: +0.187 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
50.55% (G:11.24% B:0.45%)
49.45% (G:13.01% B:0.65%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.183...+0.192) - [9.2%]
Duration: 33 minutes 00 second
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 9755988
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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