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Make the 5 Point? Massive-swing Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 8 May 2024, at 7:03 p.m.

In Response To: Make the 5 Point? RO (colin owen)

		White is XG Roller++ score: 0 pip: 155 Unlimited Game Beaver pip: 144 score: 0 Blue is Colin G. Owen
XGID=----b-E-CBaAbBA-bc-e-A----:0:0:1:31:0:0:2:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.	Rollout1	13/10* 11/10	eq: +0.3590
	Player: Opponent: 59.54% (G:13.33% B:0.56%) 40.46% (G:10.26% B:0.41%) Conf.: ±0.0061 (+0.3530...+0.3651) - [100.0%] Duration: 30 minutes 53 seconds
2.	Rollout1	21/18 11/10*	eq: +0.1847 (-0.1743)
	Player: Opponent: 55.28% (G:12.60% B:0.61%) 44.72% (G:12.39% B:0.57%) Conf.: ±0.0057 (+0.1790...+0.1904) - [0.0%] Duration: 34 minutes 03 seconds
3.	Rollout2	11/10* 10/7	eq: +0.1427 (-0.2163)
	Player: Opponent: 54.01% (G:12.95% B:0.59%) 45.99% (G:12.29% B:0.51%) Conf.: ±0.0075 (+0.1352...+0.1502) - [0.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 39 seconds
4.	Rollout2	14/10*	eq: +0.1332 (-0.2258)
	Player: Opponent: 53.69% (G:13.76% B:0.64%) 46.31% (G:12.83% B:0.60%) Conf.: ±0.0082 (+0.1250...+0.1414) - [0.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 11 seconds
5.	Rollout2	13/10* 10/9	eq: +0.1288 (-0.2302)
	Player: Opponent: 53.66% (G:13.39% B:0.62%) 46.34% (G:12.60% B:0.68%) Conf.: ±0.0078 (+0.1210...+0.1366) - [0.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 01 second
6.	Rollout3	8/5 6/5	eq: +0.0873 (-0.2717)
	Player: Opponent: 53.12% (G:10.51% B:0.45%) 46.88% (G:12.51% B:0.52%) Conf.: ±0.0104 (+0.0768...+0.0977) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 53 seconds
7.	Rollout3	14/11 6/5	eq: +0.0704 (-0.2886)
	Player: Opponent: 52.80% (G:9.78% B:0.42%) 47.20% (G:11.76% B:0.41%) Conf.: ±0.0096 (+0.0609...+0.0800) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 45 seconds
8.	Rollout3	21/20 14/11	eq: +0.0644 (-0.2946)
	Player: Opponent: 52.84% (G:9.08% B:0.37%) 47.16% (G:12.50% B:0.40%) Conf.: ±0.0098 (+0.0546...+0.0742) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 07 seconds
9.	Rollout3	14/13 11/8	eq: +0.0451 (-0.3140)
	Player: Opponent: 52.18% (G:8.72% B:0.35%) 47.82% (G:12.21% B:0.33%) Conf.: ±0.0097 (+0.0354...+0.0548) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 47 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 48310933 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 48310933 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 48310933 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Colin's rollout of his original position. Making the 5pt is -.2717, a double-whopper with cheese.

Moving back White's anchor (see below) and making the 5pt rises from the ashes.

Next.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 161 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 144 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-CBaAbBA-bc-e-A----:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.	Rollout1	8/5 6/5	eq: +0.4134
	Player: Opponent: 59.54% (G:20.17% B:1.62%) 40.47% (G:12.06% B:0.64%) Conf.: ±0.0097 (+0.4037...+0.4231) - [97.4%] Duration: 2 hours 44 minutes
2.	Rollout1	13/10* 11/10	eq: +0.4001 (-0.0133)
	Player: Opponent: 59.24% (G:18.59% B:1.48%) 40.76% (G:10.48% B:0.52%) Conf.: ±0.0089 (+0.3912...+0.4089) - [2.4%] Duration: 3 hours 10 minutes
3.	Rollout2	21/18 11/10*	eq: +0.3862 (-0.0272)
	Player: Opponent: 59.19% (G:17.42% B:1.36%) 40.81% (G:11.37% B:0.56%) Conf.: ±0.0161 (+0.3701...+0.4022) - [0.2%] Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes
4.	Rollout2	14/10*	eq: +0.3778 (-0.0356)
	Player: Opponent: 57.98% (G:19.45% B:1.60%) 42.02% (G:11.47% B:0.57%) Conf.: ±0.0190 (+0.3588...+0.3968) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 00 minute
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 67392799 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 67392799 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• Make the 5 Point?
  colin owen -- Tuesday, 30 April 2024, at 6:20 p.m.
  • Make the 5 Point?
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 30 April 2024, at 8:41 p.m.
  • Make the 5 Point?
    Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 1 May 2024, at 1:13 a.m.
  • Make the 5 Point?
    Paul Weaver -- Wednesday, 1 May 2024, at 1:49 p.m.
  • Make the 5 Point?
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 1 May 2024, at 2:07 p.m.
  • Make the 5 Point? RO
    colin owen -- Thursday, 2 May 2024, at 3:19 p.m.
    • Make the 5 Point? RO
      Timothy Chow -- Friday, 3 May 2024, at 1:15 p.m.
      • Make the 5 Point? RO
        colin owen -- Friday, 3 May 2024, at 6:30 p.m.
    • Make the 5 Point? Massive-swing Variant
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 8 May 2024, at 7:03 p.m.