
              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 112 | Unlimited Game | pip: 153 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=---CBBB-----cB--cb-dB--cB-:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:0:10 |
Blue to play 62 |
1. | Rollout1 | 24/18 20/18 | eq: -0.390 |
| Player: Opponent: | 41.14% (G:9.88% B:0.31%) 58.86% (G:18.04% B:0.45%) | Conf.: ą 0.013 (-0.403...-0.376) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 47 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 13/5 | eq: -0.439 (-0.049) |
| Player: Opponent: | 39.54% (G:8.24% B:0.23%) 60.46% (G:14.10% B:0.91%) | Conf.: ą 0.013 (-0.452...-0.426) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 21 seconds |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 13/11 13/7 | eq: -0.454 (-0.064) |
| Player: Opponent: | 39.19% (G:7.90% B:0.20%) 60.81% (G:12.34% B:0.76%) | Conf.: ą 0.012 (-0.466...-0.442) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 33 seconds |
|
4. | Rollout1 | 24/22 13/7 | eq: -0.474 (-0.084) |
| Player: Opponent: | 38.89% (G:9.09% B:0.28%) 61.11% (G:16.74% B:0.54%) | Conf.: ą 0.013 (-0.487...-0.461) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 36 seconds |
|
5. | Rollout1 | 13/7 3/1 | eq: -0.502 (-0.112) |
| Player: Opponent: | 38.03% (G:7.47% B:0.16%) 61.97% (G:14.38% B:1.01%) | Conf.: ą 0.013 (-0.515...-0.489) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 06 seconds |
|
|
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Above is Tim's rollout of his original position. Anchoring on the 18pt is easily best.
Below are two variants. The first is just 1 pip different, with Blue's 2pt slotted. This change makes it a tied decision.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 112 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 152 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=--ABBBB-----cB--cb-dB--cB-:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue to play 62 |
1. | Rollout1 | 13/11 13/7 | eq: -0.4275 |
| Player: Opponent: | 40.05% (G:8.37% B:0.20%) 59.95% (G:12.17% B:0.72%) | Conf.: ą0.0039 (-0.4314...-0.4237) - [50.1%] Duration: 4 hours 34 minutes |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 24/18 20/18 | eq: -0.4275 |
| Player: Opponent: | 41.28% (G:10.15% B:0.31%) 58.72% (G:20.13% B:0.65%) | Conf.: ą0.0041 (-0.4316...-0.4235) - [49.9%] Duration: 5 hours 09 minutes |
|
3. | Rollout2 | 13/5 | eq: -0.4358 (-0.0082) |
| Player: Opponent: | 40.03% (G:8.37% B:0.21%) 59.97% (G:14.17% B:0.95%) | Conf.: ą0.0043 (-0.4401...-0.4314) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 56 minutes |
|
|
1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 43316907 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 12960 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 43316907 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
In the second variant (below), compared to the original position, White has her 11pt instead of her 9pt. This time, Blue's anchoring on his 18pt is sixth best and a whopper.
Nack

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 118 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 153 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=---CBBB-----cBc--b-dB--cB-:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue to play 62 |
1. | Rollout1 | 13/11 13/7 | eq: -0.187 |
| Player: Opponent: | 45.73% (G:11.30% B:0.30%) 54.27% (G:9.77% B:0.44%) | Conf.: ą 0.008 (-0.195...-0.179) - [99.8%] Duration: 1 hour 07 minutes |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 13/5 | eq: -0.204 (-0.017) |
| Player: Opponent: | 45.24% (G:11.24% B:0.28%) 54.76% (G:10.41% B:0.51%) | Conf.: ą 0.008 (-0.212...-0.196) - [0.2%] Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes |
|
3. | Rollout2 | 24/16 | eq: -0.222 (-0.034) |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.46% (G:11.12% B:0.31%) 55.54% (G:10.14% B:0.26%) | Conf.: ą 0.014 (-0.236...-0.207) - [0.0%] Duration: 28 minutes 26 seconds |
|
4. | Rollout2 | 13/7 3/1 | eq: -0.222 (-0.035) |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.61% (G:10.96% B:0.21%) 55.39% (G:10.75% B:0.57%) | Conf.: ą 0.014 (-0.237...-0.208) - [0.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 58 seconds |
|
5. | Rollout2 | 24/22 13/7 | eq: -0.253 (-0.065) |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.03% (G:10.99% B:0.32%) 55.97% (G:12.68% B:0.38%) | Conf.: ą 0.014 (-0.267...-0.239) - [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 40 seconds |
|
6. | Rollout2 | 24/18 20/18 | eq: -0.289 (-0.102) |
| Player: Opponent: | 43.81% (G:11.22% B:0.35%) 56.19% (G:15.84% B:0.39%) | Conf.: ą 0.013 (-0.302...-0.276) - [0.0%] Duration: 29 minutes 55 seconds |
|
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1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 32047511 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 32047511 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10