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Bot Battle #18 - Variant and Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 13 May 2024, at 8:57 a.m.

In Response To: Bot Battle #18 Rollout (Jason Lee)





White is Professional

score: 3
pip: 152
9 point match
pip: 142
score: 3

Blue is Hive Mind
XGID=--bB--D-CA--dC---c-dB-b---:0:0:1:22:3:3:0:9:10
Blue to play 22

1.xgRollout113/9 6/4(2)eq: +0.776
Player:
Opponent:		68.23% (G:13.91% B:0.61%)
31.77% (G:5.41% B:0.27%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.771...+0.780) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 21 minutes
2.Rollout113/11 8/4 6/4eq: +0.755 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		66.37% (G:16.54% B:0.62%)
33.63% (G:5.79% B:0.31%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.750...+0.760) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 hours 27 minutes
3.Rollout213/7 9/7eq: +0.747 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:		67.35% (G:14.90% B:0.61%)
32.65% (G:5.82% B:0.37%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.735...+0.759) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 16 seconds
4.Rollout213/11(2) 6/4(2)eq: +0.691 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:		65.19% (G:16.74% B:0.56%)
34.81% (G:6.21% B:0.46%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.679...+0.703) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38 minutes 12 seconds
5.Rollout213/11(2) 13/9eq: +0.676 (-0.099)
Player:
Opponent:		65.97% (G:13.91% B:0.58%)
34.03% (G:5.56% B:0.26%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.665...+0.687) - [0.0%]
Duration: 40 minutes 52 seconds
6.Rollout213/11 9/7 6/4(2)eq: +0.670 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		64.65% (G:16.64% B:0.62%)
35.35% (G:6.54% B:0.38%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.659...+0.681) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 51 seconds
7.Rollout29/5 6/4(2)eq: +0.652 (-0.124)
Player:
Opponent:		64.58% (G:15.37% B:0.67%)
35.42% (G:6.76% B:0.26%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.641...+0.663) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 37 seconds
8.playedRollout220/18(2) 6/4(2)eq: +0.647 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:		65.33% (G:14.06% B:0.58%)
34.67% (G:7.84% B:0.38%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.637...+0.656) - [0.0%]
Duration: 41 minutes 44 seconds
1 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Huge

Jason's rollout of his original position is shown above.

The variant below has the same pipcount but White's 3pt isn't covered. In this case, 13/9(2) 6/4(2), the best play above, is fourth best and a blunder. Instead, three fancier moves are best-play rivals.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 152
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 142
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--bB--D-CA--cC---e-dB-a---:0:0:1:22:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 22

1.Rollout113/11 9/7 6/4(2)eq: +0.831
Player:
Opponent:		69.00% (G:18.37% B:0.81%)
31.00% (G:5.60% B:0.20%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.825...+0.837) - [56.6%]
Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes
2.Rollout113/11(2) 6/4(2)eq: +0.830 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:		70.01% (G:15.78% B:0.69%)
29.99% (G:4.97% B:0.19%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.824...+0.836) - [42.5%]
Duration: 1 hour 07 minutes
3.Rollout213/11 8/4 6/4eq: +0.822 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:		69.90% (G:16.04% B:0.64%)
30.10% (G:4.95% B:0.18%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.815...+0.829) - [0.9%]
Duration: 50 minutes 55 seconds
4.Rollout313/9 6/4(2)eq: +0.752 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		69.24% (G:13.97% B:0.67%)
30.76% (G:5.45% B:0.17%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.737...+0.766) - [0.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 17 seconds
5.Rollout313/7 9/7eq: +0.728 (-0.103)
Player:
Opponent:		68.62% (G:13.48% B:0.52%)
31.38% (G:5.27% B:0.19%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.714...+0.742) - [0.0%]
Duration: 30 minutes 49 seconds
1 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 43316907
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 43316907
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 43316907
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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