Compared to the droids position, here White doesn't have as potent a threat of improving her prime. She does have a straggler poised to leap out with a 6, but is that worth a risky hit, especially since White has two checkers back? XG says yes, but it's not such an obvious decision to me even after seeing the rollout. See the variant, where I have changed the roll to 52 and moved White's rearmost checker forward one pip so that Blue doesn't have a double-hitting play.
        
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 139 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 122
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a-a-BCEC--Aa---bbbd-b--A-:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/3* 7/6 | eq: +0.050 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.46% (G:17.96% B:0.96%)
50.54% (G:13.17% B:0.57%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (+0.032...+0.068) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 43 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/23 8/3* | eq: -0.043 (-0.094) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.97% (G:16.10% B:0.77%)
52.03% (G:14.13% B:0.66%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.059...-0.028) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 48 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 11/5 | eq: -0.103 (-0.153) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.15% (G:14.05% B:0.58%)
53.85% (G:10.06% B:0.39%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.117...-0.089) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Variant:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 138 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 122
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--aa-BCEC--Aa---bbbd-b--A-:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 52 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 11/6 7/5 | eq: +0.060 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.54% (G:16.88% B:0.78%)
50.46% (G:8.79% B:0.30%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.052...+0.067) - [100.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 13 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/3* 7/5 | eq: +0.006 (-0.053) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.79% (G:17.37% B:0.78%)
51.21% (G:13.46% B:0.70%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.001...+0.014) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 29 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release