
              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 133 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 137 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-a---CCBB--AbCa-abbcc---A-:0:0:1:64:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 7/1* 5/1 | eq: -0.114 |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.17% (G:18.78% B:0.40%) 55.83% (G:13.52% B:0.68%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.127...-0.101) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 53 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7 11/7 | eq: -0.246 (-0.131) |
| Player: Opponent: | 42.79% (G:11.81% B:0.48%) 57.21% (G:13.18% B:0.52%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.261...-0.230) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 52 seconds |
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| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Nice problem by Tim -- his rollout is above.
I offer a 2-pip change variant below (Blue checker from 11pt to 13pt) for contrast. What is a whopper in the original position becomes the best play by far in the variant, a swing of .184.
Nack

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 133 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 139 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-a---CCBB---bDa-abbcc---A-:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/9 13/7 | eq: -0.163 |
| Player: Opponent: | 45.45% (G:12.56% B:0.60%) 54.55% (G:14.20% B:0.60%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.178...-0.149) - [100.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 7/1* 5/1 | eq: -0.216 (-0.053) |
| Player: Opponent: | 42.13% (G:16.34% B:0.35%) 57.87% (G:12.67% B:0.60%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.230...-0.203) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 33 seconds |
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| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 43316907 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10