At first I was startled at how much worse XG thought 4/2*/1 was. It does win a lot more gammons, but I didn't expect it to lose so many more games. However, after 4/2*/1, 66 64 55 54 42 blot immediately, and a number of other rolls leave Blue with an awkward spare on the 5pt that leads to future blotting danger. By contrast, 6/5 6/4 leaves what Michy calls a "zero position," with no immediate blotting rolls.
        
 
           
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 92 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 46
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-AaBCCB--a--------abcbbba-:1:-1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 6/5 6/4 | eq: +0.988 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 96.77% (G:6.41% B:0.09%)
3.23% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.986...+0.990) - [100.0%]
Duration: 15.5 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 5/3 1/Off | eq: +0.950 (-0.038) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 95.30% (G:6.37% B:0.13%)
4.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.947...+0.953) - [0.0%]
Duration: 17.7 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 5/3 4/3 | eq: +0.873 (-0.115) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 92.61% (G:4.91% B:0.07%)
7.39% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.870...+0.876) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19.3 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 4/2* 2/1 | eq: +0.857 (-0.131) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 87.10% (G:16.45% B:0.25%)
12.90% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.853...+0.860) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27.5 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Gammon go:
| | White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 92 | 2 point match
Crawford | pip: 46
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-AaBCCB--a--------abcbbba-:0:0:1:21:0:1:1:2:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 4/2* 2/1 | eq: +1.073 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 86.82% (G:16.82% B:0.66%)
13.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.070...+1.076) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8.5 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 6/5 6/4 | eq: +1.049 (-0.024) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 97.94% (G:4.51% B:0.02%)
2.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.048...+1.050) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4.1 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 5/3 1/Off | eq: +1.026 (-0.047) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 95.41% (G:5.87% B:0.15%)
4.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (+1.023...+1.028) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6.3 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
Variant:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 92 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 44
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-AaCCBB--a--------abcbbba-:1:-1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 4/2* 2/1 | eq: +0.989 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 92.07% (G:18.08% B:0.19%)
7.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.986...+0.992) - [100.0%]
Duration: 22.5 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 6/5 6/4 | eq: +0.972 (-0.017) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 95.95% (G:7.00% B:0.10%)
4.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.969...+0.974) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15.5 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release