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It's more than you think!

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 19 May 2024, at 12:22 p.m.

In Response To: Guess how much equity you lose by making the 2nd-best play (Timothy Chow)

No variant this time. Just enjoy the show!





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 136
Unlimited Game
pip: 145
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B-BBBB-a-bB--Abcdb-AA--:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 55

1.Rollout17/2(2) 6/1*(2) eq: +0.174
Player:
Opponent:		49.66% (G:28.48% B:0.31%)
50.34% (G:14.54% B:0.98%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.157...+0.190) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 53 seconds
2.Rollout116/6 7/2(2)eq: -0.290 (-0.464)
Player:
Opponent:		41.27% (G:16.13% B:0.43%)
58.73% (G:16.87% B:0.83%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.302...-0.278) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 06 seconds
3.Rollout116/6 13/8(2)eq: -0.338 (-0.512)
Player:
Opponent:		41.57% (G:12.54% B:0.57%)
58.43% (G:16.11% B:0.56%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.352...-0.325) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 33 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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