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Rollout for money and GS

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 20 May 2024, at 12:21 p.m.

In Response To: How powerful is a five-prime? (Timothy Chow)

We'd certainly hit loose if we could keep our five-prime, so that should help us see the urgency of knocking White off the edge of our prime, even at the cost of weakening our prime somewhat.

At gammon save, the rollout below says the top two plays are tied.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 107
Unlimited Game
pip: 140
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--aBBBBC-----bbb-cCc--b-:0:0:1:11:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 11

1.Rollout19/7 5/4*(2) eq: -0.147
Player:
Opponent:		46.00% (G:9.13% B:0.29%)
54.00% (G:12.73% B:0.26%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.159...-0.135) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 43 seconds
2.Rollout19/5eq: -0.234 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:		42.81% (G:7.78% B:0.23%)
57.19% (G:9.64% B:0.16%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.245...-0.223) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 42 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

Gammon save:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 107
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 140
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--aBBBBC-----bbb-cCc--b-:0:0:1:11:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 11

1.Rollout19/7 5/4*(2) eq: -0.293
Player:
Opponent:		44.14% (G:6.41% B:0.32%)
55.86% (G:8.78% B:0.29%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.299...-0.287) - [93.6%]
Duration: 3 minutes 05 seconds
2.Rollout19/5eq: -0.299 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:		41.66% (G:5.61% B:0.35%)
58.34% (G:6.61% B:0.24%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.304...-0.294) - [6.4%]
Duration: 2 minutes 51 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52672062
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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