White has a strong four-prime, so stepping up is a natural candidate play. So is making the 5pt, but making the 5pt leaves a direct shot.
          
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 156 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 137
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aBa--EBB---dB---bbcb--AA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 31 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/21 23/22 | eq: -0.370 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 40.46% (G:13.35% B:0.61%)
59.54% (G:18.33% B:0.79%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.383...-0.357) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 58 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/5 6/5 | eq: -0.483 (-0.113) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 37.28% (G:13.51% B:0.43%)
62.72% (G:18.23% B:0.99%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.498...-0.469) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 23/22 6/3* | eq: -0.492 (-0.122) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 37.55% (G:13.53% B:0.53%)
62.45% (G:18.15% B:1.09%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.507...-0.477) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 6/3* 3/2 | eq: -0.582 (-0.212) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.08% (G:12.87% B:0.44%)
64.92% (G:18.86% B:0.98%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.597...-0.567) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 06 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52672062
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Variant:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 155 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 137
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-aBa--EBB---dB---c-cc--AA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 31 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/5 6/5 | eq: -0.164 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 45.27% (G:17.17% B:0.62%)
54.73% (G:17.35% B:1.05%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.174...-0.155) - [59.6%]
Duration: 10 minutes 43 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 6/3* 3/2 | eq: -0.166 (-0.002) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 45.08% (G:16.87% B:0.77%)
54.92% (G:17.06% B:0.86%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.178...-0.155) - [40.4%]
Duration: 11 minutes 15 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 23/22 6/3* | eq: -0.185 (-0.021) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44.68% (G:16.89% B:0.78%)
55.32% (G:17.40% B:0.99%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.195...-0.175) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 48 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 24/21 23/22 | eq: -0.290 (-0.126) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.87% (G:15.02% B:0.83%)
57.13% (G:19.00% B:0.84%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.308...-0.273) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 30 seconds |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52672062
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52672062
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release