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Endgame cube action from the bar

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Tuesday, 21 May 2024, at 1:32 p.m.

In Response To: Endgame cube action from the bar (Timothy Chow)

Closed out on the bar with N off gives a GWC of about 70% when N==10. But that's because of situations like this so the shot equity is already factored in. But, since there is an actual shot to be had, not just the possibility of one, blue's GWC is increased over the reference position. The question is: is it increased enough to push it into the doubling window?

I don't think it's enough to push it past the doubling window, so the take seems correct, especially since white already has two off. I'm not sure it's enough, in theory, but in practice I'll ship it and see if white muffs the take decision. I'll say D/T, but won't be surprised if it's a hold.

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