[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Nice 4-4 to play

Posted By: pierrez
Date: Thursday, 23 May 2024, at 7:21 a.m.

In Response To: Nice 4-4 to play (ah_clem)

It is hard to resist playing 13/9(2) securing a 5 point prime with 3 white checkers stuck behind and with the last two 4, move forward the rear checker with 24/16.

So what is wrong with this play ?

By attacking the white checker on the 3 point with 7/3*(2) and moving the rear checker to the 16 point, we double the percentage of gammon if white fails to enter or enter badly - a double shot on the white checker on the 15 point.

Gammon rate rises from 10% to 20% when number of total wins stay around 70%. All plays not including the hit are blunders.





White is Joueur 2

score: 0
pip: 149
5 point match
pip: 144
score: 0

Blue is Joueur 1
XGID=-B-abBBBB----B-a-cceB---A-:1:-1:1:44:0:0:0:5:10
Blue to play 44

1.Rollout124/16 7/3*(2) eq: +0,539
Player:
Opponent:
72,43% (G:19,11% B:0,37%)
27,57% (G:4,01% B:0,13%)
Conf.: ± 0,007 (+0,532...+0,546) - [99,4%]
Duration: 15 minutes 16 seconds
2.Rollout120/16(2) 7/3*(2) eq: +0,525 (-0,013)
Player:
Opponent:
71,83% (G:20,15% B:0,41%)
28,17% (G:4,90% B:0,33%)
Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,518...+0,533) - [0,6%]
Duration: 16 minutes 00 second
3.Rollout113/5 7/3*(2) eq: +0,502 (-0,037)
Player:
Opponent:
69,58% (G:23,58% B:0,43%)
30,42% (G:5,28% B:0,20%)
Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,494...+0,510) - [0,0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 41 seconds
4.Rollout113/9(2) 7/3*(2) eq: +0,487 (-0,052)
Player:
Opponent:
69,54% (G:22,22% B:0,38%)
30,46% (G:5,28% B:0,42%)
Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,479...+0,495) - [0,0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 32 seconds
5.Rollout124/16 13/9(2)eq: +0,443 (-0,096)
Player:
Opponent:
72,51% (G:11,06% B:0,32%)
27,49% (G:4,29% B:0,18%)
Conf.: ± 0,007 (+0,436...+0,450) - [0,0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 25 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.