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Not the best roll

Posted By: pierrez
Date: Thursday, 23 May 2024, at 6:14 p.m.

In Response To: Not the best roll (Timothy Chow)

Firstly, when considering a broken prime, there is technically, in my opinion, no edge of the prime, because if White doesn’t land in the hole, she can’t escape with a single die next roll.

Secondly, if White lands in the hole, Blue (if hit) can enter in the non existent White home board and hits White in the hole (non entering 1s and 2s will be nicely used).

All in all, Blue loses instantly if Blue rolls 5/4*, 5/2 and then White rolls 6-5 (2 rolls) although Blue retains more equity (or loses less) when Blue plays 7/6, 7/4* even if White rolls 5-2 or 4-3 (4 rolls).

In your interesting variant, because of the stronger White 4 point board, the play 7/6, 7/4* is now more costly (than in the original position) when White gets one of the 4 semi-escape rolls with return hits.

The Blue equity of this sequence is decreasing (compared to original position) when the equity of Blue 5/4*, 5/2 followed by White 6-5 is still -1 or gin position for White.

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