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Variant with Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 25 May 2024, at 4:16 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout + variant (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 152
Unlimited Game
pip: 153
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aAaDBC---dC-a-c-c--b-B-:0:0:1:11:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 11

1.Rollout124/23 6/5*(2) 4/3* eq: +0.584
Player:
Opponent:
62.30% (G:24.21% B:1.25%)
37.70% (G:10.15% B:0.50%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.569...+0.600) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 23 seconds
2.Rollout18/7 6/5*(2) 4/3* eq: +0.510 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent:
60.89% (G:24.38% B:1.19%)
39.11% (G:11.11% B:0.70%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.495...+0.526) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 04 seconds
3.Rollout17/5* 6/5 4/3* eq: +0.479 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:
59.43% (G:25.10% B:1.34%)
40.57% (G:11.82% B:0.80%)
Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.461...+0.496) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 48 seconds
4.Rollout16/5* 5/3* 4/3eq: +0.467 (-0.117)
Player:
Opponent:
59.47% (G:24.59% B:1.25%)
40.53% (G:10.73% B:0.49%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.452...+0.482) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 40 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Tim's rollout of his original position is above. Pointing on the 5pt, hitting loose and splitting is best, and making the 3pt is a whopper (-.117).

In the variant below, one checker has been moved (the White 8pt spare onto the bar). Making the 3pt is best/tied.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 169
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 153
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--aAaDBC---dC-a-b-c--b-B-:0:0:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 11

1.Rollout16/5* 5/3* 4/3eq: +0.876
Player:
Opponent:
66.90% (G:34.50% B:3.28%)
33.10% (G:7.52% B:0.37%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.869...+0.883) - [67.2%]
Duration: 39 minutes 55 seconds
2.Rollout124/23 6/5*(2) 4/3* eq: +0.874 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
69.31% (G:32.76% B:3.03%)
30.69% (G:6.44% B:0.32%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.866...+0.881) - [32.8%]
Duration: 41 minutes 45 seconds
3.Rollout28/7 6/5*(2) 4/3* eq: +0.859 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
68.49% (G:32.74% B:3.05%)
31.51% (G:7.15% B:0.39%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.851...+0.866) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 28 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2691083
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2691083
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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