The PoH play would be more viable if White's rearmost blot were on our 1pt (see variant), but as CMC said, the standout play is 22/18 6/5. White shouldn't even hit with a 6 (except 66).
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 157 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 157
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--a-aADBB-a-bD--bc-e--A-A-:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 41 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 22/18 6/5 | eq: +0.386 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.39% (G:15.79% B:0.72%)
40.61% (G:10.29% B:0.37%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.370...+0.401) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 22 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 6/5 | eq: +0.268 (-0.118) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.66% (G:14.95% B:0.74%)
43.34% (G:11.24% B:0.39%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.253...+0.282) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 04 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/9 6/5 | eq: +0.249 (-0.137) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.24% (G:17.18% B:0.96%)
43.76% (G:12.63% B:0.59%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.234...+0.264) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 01 second |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 8/4* 5/4 | eq: +0.239 (-0.147) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.54% (G:20.50% B:0.99%)
45.46% (G:12.40% B:0.69%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.223...+0.255) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 49 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Variant:
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 158 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 157
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a--aADBB-a-bD--bc-e--A-A-:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 41 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 22/18 6/5 | eq: +0.366 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.17% (G:14.99% B:0.78%)
40.83% (G:10.25% B:0.33%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.358...+0.373) - [100.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 37 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/4* 5/4 | eq: +0.322 (-0.043) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.62% (G:20.39% B:1.06%)
43.38% (G:11.84% B:0.57%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.312...+0.332) - [0.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 24 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 24/20 6/5 | eq: +0.281 (-0.084) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.90% (G:15.19% B:0.75%)
43.10% (G:11.18% B:0.39%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.266...+0.297) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 02 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 8/4* 6/5 | eq: +0.281 (-0.085) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.24% (G:18.75% B:1.06%)
43.76% (G:13.27% B:0.87%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.267...+0.295) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 44 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release