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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 27 May 2024, at 4:14 p.m.

In Response To: Don't you hate it when you can't split? (Timothy Chow)

I tried to get fancy here with 7/2 4/2, leaving no direct shots, but White doesn't have much of a board. XG favors 13/11 6/1, which doesn't leave as many shots as it might appear at first glance. There are several rolls with which White won't (or shouldn't) hit. We have the better board after 6/1, and White is somewhat reluctant to break anchor.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 147
Unlimited Game
pip: 150
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--BbCAB---dDa--a-e--b-B-:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 52

1.Rollout113/11 6/1eq: -0.402
Player:
Opponent:
41.06% (G:10.67% B:0.33%)
58.94% (G:19.89% B:1.17%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.415...-0.389) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 34 seconds
2.Rollout113/6eq: -0.449 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent:
40.01% (G:9.82% B:0.29%)
59.99% (G:19.90% B:0.93%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.464...-0.434) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 24 seconds
3.Rollout18/1eq: -0.467 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:
39.56% (G:10.19% B:0.28%)
60.44% (G:20.21% B:1.11%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.481...-0.453) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 11 seconds
4.Rollout113/8 6/4eq: -0.483 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:
39.20% (G:9.50% B:0.27%)
60.80% (G:19.49% B:0.92%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.497...-0.469) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 28 seconds
5.Rollout113/11 13/8eq: -0.526 (-0.124)
Player:
Opponent:
38.43% (G:9.83% B:0.34%)
61.57% (G:21.30% B:1.57%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.540...-0.511) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 43 seconds
6.Rollout18/6 8/3eq: -0.531 (-0.129)
Player:
Opponent:
38.10% (G:10.23% B:0.34%)
61.90% (G:21.62% B:1.28%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.545...-0.517) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 33 seconds
7.Rollout113/11 7/2eq: -0.537 (-0.135)
Player:
Opponent:
38.06% (G:9.55% B:0.30%)
61.94% (G:21.49% B:1.30%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.552...-0.522) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 13 seconds
8.Rollout17/2 6/4eq: -0.540 (-0.138)
Player:
Opponent:
38.32% (G:8.85% B:0.22%)
61.68% (G:21.36% B:0.94%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.555...-0.525) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 18 seconds
9.Rollout17/2 4/2eq: -0.565 (-0.163)
Player:
Opponent:
37.77% (G:8.98% B:0.22%)
62.23% (G:21.85% B:0.97%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.580...-0.549) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 03 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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