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Rollout: a blunder by XG 3-ply

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 10 June 2024, at 3:09 a.m.

In Response To: Snake eyes always confuse me (Timothy Chow)

I was playing White against eXtremeGammon on XG 3-ply here, and it played 14/13 12/9. The top play of the rollout, 14/12 6/4, didn't make it through the move filter.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 105
7 point match
pip: 128
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-BBABB---B-A-Aa-bbcbbAbA-:1:1:1:11:0:1:0:7:10
Blue to play 11

1.Rollout114/12 6/4eq: -0.270
Player:
Opponent:
38.81% (G:9.47% B:0.53%)
61.19% (G:29.12% B:1.98%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.279...-0.261) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 34 seconds
2.Rollout112/8eq: -0.345 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:
38.34% (G:9.57% B:0.58%)
61.66% (G:31.39% B:5.28%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.354...-0.335) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 33 seconds
3.Rollout114/13 12/11 6/4eq: -0.349 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:
38.50% (G:10.15% B:0.70%)
61.50% (G:33.30% B:5.34%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.359...-0.340) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 15 seconds
4.Rollout114/11 5/4eq: -0.351 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:
38.56% (G:9.88% B:0.49%)
61.44% (G:32.72% B:5.47%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.361...-0.341) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 37 seconds
5.Rollout114/13 12/9eq: -0.354 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:
38.05% (G:9.53% B:0.57%)
61.95% (G:32.18% B:5.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.364...-0.344) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 28 seconds
6.Rollout114/13 12/11 10/9 5/4eq: -0.355 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:
40.16% (G:10.72% B:0.72%)
59.84% (G:34.19% B:9.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.366...-0.344) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 36 seconds
7.Rollout114/13 10/9 6/4eq: -0.364 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent:
39.83% (G:10.79% B:0.68%)
60.17% (G:34.94% B:8.62%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.375...-0.353) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 08 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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