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Rollout: Another XG 3-ply blunder

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 11 June 2024, at 3:52 a.m.

In Response To: Gammons gammons gammons! (Timothy Chow)

XG 3-ply played 23/21 17/13 here. It may not seem that there is much difference between 23/21 17/13 and 23/17, but for example 33 is an anti-joker for Blue after 23/21 17/13, and 31 isn't so hot either.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 169
7 point match
pip: 78
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=cBCDBB----b-b----Abbb--Ab-:2:-1:1:42:0:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout123/17eq: +1.645
Player:
Opponent:
94.07% (G:87.97% B:1.07%)
5.93% (G:0.58% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+1.638...+1.651) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 12 seconds
2.Rollout123/21 17/13eq: +1.553 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:
91.66% (G:84.90% B:1.07%)
8.34% (G:0.83% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+1.546...+1.560) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 41 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2


Variant:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 167
7 point match
pip: 78
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=cBCDBB-----bb----Abbb--Ab-:2:-1:1:42:0:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout123/21 17/13eq: +1.582
Player:
Opponent:
92.49% (G:85.64% B:1.32%)
7.51% (G:0.63% B:0.02%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+1.577...+1.588) - [92.3%]
Duration: 3 minutes 14 seconds
2.Rollout123/17eq: +1.576 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent:
92.34% (G:85.41% B:1.04%)
7.66% (G:0.63% B:0.02%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+1.570...+1.583) - [7.7%]
Duration: 2 minutes 49 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52672062
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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