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Rollout: Not what you think!

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 13 June 2024, at 3:02 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: Not what you think! (John O'Hagan)

JOH wrote:

If you had the same racing lead and playing the ace 6/5 gave you a 5 pt board, then Pottle would have to be right.

I'm not sure what you mean. What's wrong with the position below?





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
pip: 117
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBBAC-b---bDa--c-e---bA-:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout113/7 6/5eq: +0.442
Player:
Opponent:		61.25% (G:12.84% B:0.23%)
38.75% (G:3.20% B:0.08%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.431...+0.453) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 40 seconds
2.Rollout124/18 6/5eq: +0.360 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:		60.42% (G:9.33% B:0.18%)
39.58% (G:3.56% B:0.07%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.350...+0.370) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 40 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52672062
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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