Making the 5pt seemed automatic to me, but XG said it was a blunder. It seems that minimizing shots is more important than I thought.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 192 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 167 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=abBb--CBAA-AcA-----cbbC-A-:1:1:1:61:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 9/8 | eq: +0.058 |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.91% (G:17.10% B:1.20%) 55.09% (G:18.73% B:1.02%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.048...+0.069) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 57 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 22/16 9/8 | eq: +0.022 (-0.037) |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.25% (G:16.03% B:1.27%) 55.75% (G:20.45% B:1.32%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.010...+0.034) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 04 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/18 9/8 | eq: +0.016 (-0.043) |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.67% (G:15.23% B:0.94%) 55.33% (G:20.34% B:1.13%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.005...+0.026) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 06 minutes |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 11/5 6/5 | eq: -0.024 (-0.083) |
| Player: Opponent: | 43.30% (G:17.27% B:1.53%) 56.70% (G:23.06% B:1.65%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.037...-0.012) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 55 minutes |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 52672062 Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+ Search interval: Large
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Variant:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 190 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 164 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=abBb--CBAA-AcA-----cbCb-A-:1:1:1:61:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 9/8 | eq: +0.329 |
| Player: Opponent: | 52.42% (G:19.99% B:1.44%) 47.58% (G:13.49% B:0.63%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.319...+0.340) - [63.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 19 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 11/5 6/5 | eq: +0.327 (-0.003) |
| Player: Opponent: | 52.60% (G:21.07% B:1.69%) 47.40% (G:15.88% B:0.98%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.316...+0.338) - [37.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 01 second |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 52672062 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release