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Rollout ATS and for money

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 20 June 2024, at 1:27 a.m.

In Response To: Gammon save: do you hit? (Timothy Chow)

For money, not hitting is a double whopper with cheese according to the rollout below. But the score makes a huge difference. See also the 3a4a rollout below.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 125 2 point match Crawford pip: 152 score: 1 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----AD-E-a-dC-a--be--Bb--:0:0:1:52:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 52

1.	Rollout1	8/3 6/4	eq: -0.436
	Player: Opponent: 32.85% (G:3.96% B:0.18%) 67.15% (G:4.65% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.441...-0.431) - [97.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 28 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/3 5/3	eq: -0.442 (-0.006)
	Player: Opponent: 33.34% (G:3.96% B:0.23%) 66.66% (G:5.45% B:0.28%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.447...-0.438) - [3.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 25 seconds
3.	Rollout1	8/6 8/3	eq: -0.453 (-0.017)
	Player: Opponent: 32.29% (G:3.45% B:0.27%) 67.71% (G:4.93% B:0.29%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.457...-0.448) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 12 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/8 6/4	eq: -0.467 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 31.71% (G:3.42% B:0.19%) 68.29% (G:5.07% B:0.42%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.472...-0.463) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 06 seconds
5.	Rollout1	13/6	eq: -0.476 (-0.040)
	Player: Opponent: 31.13% (G:3.32% B:0.29%) 68.87% (G:4.92% B:0.29%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.481...-0.471) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 54 seconds
6.	Rollout1	8/1	eq: -0.502 (-0.066)
	Player: Opponent: 30.78% (G:3.17% B:0.09%) 69.22% (G:5.89% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.506...-0.498) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 24 seconds
7.	Rollout1	13/8 5/3	eq: -0.503 (-0.067)
	Player: Opponent: 30.25% (G:3.11% B:0.22%) 69.75% (G:5.38% B:0.19%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.507...-0.498) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 46 seconds
8.	Rollout1	22/15*	eq: -0.524 (-0.088)
	Player: Opponent: 42.54% (G:10.18% B:1.08%) 57.46% (G:18.74% B:1.42%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.531...-0.517) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 31 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 52672062 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

---

Money:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 125 Unlimited Game pip: 152 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----AD-E-a-dC-a--be--Bb--:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 52

1.	Rollout1	22/15*	eq: -0.328
	Player: Opponent: 43.22% (G:10.25% B:0.43%) 56.78% (G:19.83% B:0.81%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.341...-0.315) - [100.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 06 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/3 5/3	eq: -0.596 (-0.268)
	Player: Opponent: 33.50% (G:4.50% B:0.14%) 66.50% (G:6.12% B:0.16%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.606...-0.586) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 11 seconds
3.	Rollout1	8/3 6/4	eq: -0.597 (-0.269)
	Player: Opponent: 33.55% (G:4.53% B:0.14%) 66.45% (G:6.08% B:0.21%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.607...-0.587) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 39 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 52672062 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---

3a4a:

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 125 5 point match pip: 152 score: 2 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----AD-E-a-dC-a--be--Bb--:1:1:1:52:2:1:0:5:10
Blue to play 52

1.	Rollout1	22/15*	eq: -0.326
	Player: Opponent: 42.73% (G:9.74% B:1.13%) 57.27% (G:18.94% B:1.48%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.335...-0.317) - [85.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 31 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/3 6/4	eq: -0.332 (-0.006)
	Player: Opponent: 33.20% (G:4.15% B:0.31%) 66.80% (G:5.27% B:0.28%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.338...-0.326) - [12.6%] Duration: 4 minutes 45 seconds
3.	Rollout1	8/3 5/3	eq: -0.335 (-0.009)
	Player: Opponent: 33.21% (G:4.30% B:0.43%) 66.79% (G:5.55% B:0.46%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.341...-0.329) - [2.4%] Duration: 4 minutes 27 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62908879 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• Gammon save: do you hit?
  Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 16 June 2024, at 1:06 p.m.
  • Gammon save: do you hit?
    pierrez -- Sunday, 16 June 2024, at 4:06 p.m.
  • Gammon save: do you hit?
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 16 June 2024, at 6:03 p.m.
  • Rollout ATS and for money
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 20 June 2024, at 1:27 a.m.
  • Gammon save: do you hit?
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 20 June 2024, at 2:02 a.m.