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Rollout ATS + for money

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 23 June 2024, at 12:17 p.m.

In Response To: Another "does the match score matter?" problem (Timothy Chow)

It's clear what the tradeoff is between the two candidate plays, but I think it is not so easy to judge which play to make at which score.





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 150
7 point match
pip: 152
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----CDCc-a-bB---c-dbB--A-:0:0:1:65:4:2:0:7:10
Blue to play 65

1.Rollout124/13eq: -0.043
Player:
Opponent:
49.23% (G:8.30% B:0.30%)
50.77% (G:6.71% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.054...-0.032) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 35 seconds
2.Rollout121/10* eq: -0.119 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:
48.56% (G:17.58% B:1.28%)
51.44% (G:13.44% B:0.71%)
Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.135...-0.103) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 42 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52672062
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2


Money:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Unlimited Game
pip: 152
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----CDCc-a-bB---c-dbB--A-:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 65

1.Rollout121/10* eq: -0.020
Player:
Opponent:
48.60% (G:16.52% B:0.57%)
51.40% (G:13.30% B:0.65%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.033...-0.006) - [77.4%]
Duration: 6 minutes 54 seconds
2.Rollout124/13eq: -0.026 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
49.24% (G:7.96% B:0.19%)
50.76% (G:6.90% B:0.23%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.037...-0.016) - [22.6%]
Duration: 6 minutes 20 seconds
 
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52672062
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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