This is another one where, if you saw the money-game rollout, it would not be hard to adjust for the match score. But I think it's not so easy to judge OTB how bold or safe a play to make.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 156 | | 7 point match | pip: 137 score: 4
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-BB-aaB-C---cD-b-d-dA--A--:0:0:1:63:4:0:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 63 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 23/20 13/7 | eq: -0.074 |
| Player: Opponent: | 51.52% (G:14.73% B:0.23%) 48.48% (G:8.16% B:0.37%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.087...-0.061) - [100.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 41 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/4* | eq: -0.166 (-0.092) |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.00% (G:21.48% B:0.47%) 50.00% (G:13.20% B:0.54%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.180...-0.152) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 21 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 23/20 8/2 | eq: -0.181 (-0.106) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.19% (G:14.71% B:0.40%) 50.81% (G:10.46% B:0.40%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.195...-0.166) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 20/14 8/5* | eq: -0.194 (-0.119) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.65% (G:21.24% B:0.65%) 50.35% (G:14.11% B:0.66%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.208...-0.179) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 43 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 13/7 8/5* | eq: -0.194 (-0.120) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.32% (G:22.90% B:0.75%) 50.68% (G:14.00% B:0.78%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.208...-0.180) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 19 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 52672062 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
Money:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 156 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 137 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-BB-aaB-C---cD-b-d-dA--A--:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 63 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 23/20 13/7 | eq: +0.096 |
| Player: Opponent: | 51.58% (G:13.43% B:0.16%) 48.42% (G:7.45% B:0.31%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.084...+0.109) - [67.7%] Duration: 6 minutes 04 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/7 8/5* | eq: +0.087 (-0.009) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.30% (G:21.68% B:0.35%) 50.70% (G:13.85% B:0.80%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.074...+0.101) - [11.3%] Duration: 4 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/4* | eq: +0.087 (-0.010) |
| Player: Opponent: | 50.22% (G:20.41% B:0.33%) 49.78% (G:13.00% B:0.63%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.073...+0.101) - [11.4%] Duration: 6 minutes 09 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 20/14 8/5* | eq: +0.083 (-0.013) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.92% (G:20.46% B:0.35%) 50.08% (G:13.81% B:0.71%) | Conf.: ± 0.019 (+0.064...+0.102) - [9.6%] Duration: 6 minutes 03 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 23/20 8/2 | eq: +0.001 (-0.096) |
| Player: Opponent: | 49.52% (G:12.26% B:0.16%) 50.48% (G:9.65% B:0.42%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.012...+0.014) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 49 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 52672062 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release