I mainly wanted to illustrate that sometimes, XG does go "kamikaze." For the reasons rambiz said, I don't entirely trust this rollout. I do believe that exposing blots is the right general idea, but the ranking of the plays is suspect. For starters, several of the options in the rollout below did not even make it through XG's move filter; I had to add them manually. That problem could be somewhat mitigated by doing a 4-ply rollout with a larger move filter, but I don't think it's worth the effort.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/23 4/2* 2/1* | eq: -0.367 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.66% (G:3.13% B:0.22%)
68.34% (G:49.14% B:11.33%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.374...-0.359) - [100.0%]
Duration: 54 minutes 07 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/23 9/8 3/2* 2/1* | eq: -0.396 (-0.029) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 30.22% (G:2.84% B:0.12%)
69.78% (G:47.49% B:10.24%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.403...-0.389) - [0.0%]
Duration: 48 minutes 19 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 9/8 4/2* 2/1* | eq: -0.405 (-0.038) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.74% (G:2.48% B:0.19%)
70.26% (G:51.48% B:12.20%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.413...-0.397) - [0.0%]
Duration: 55 minutes 05 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 24/23 6/5 3/2* 2/1* | eq: -0.406 (-0.039) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.71% (G:2.85% B:0.13%)
70.29% (G:48.10% B:10.21%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.413...-0.399) - [0.0%]
Duration: 52 minutes 24 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 4/2* 3/2 2/1* | eq: -0.407 (-0.040) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.65% (G:2.79% B:0.20%)
70.35% (G:51.53% B:12.30%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.415...-0.399) - [0.0%]
Duration: 54 minutes 26 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout1 | 24/23 9/8 4/2* | eq: -0.407 (-0.040) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.65% (G:2.84% B:0.21%)
70.35% (G:47.54% B:9.94%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.414...-0.400) - [0.0%]
Duration: 50 minutes 05 seconds |
|
| 7. | Rollout2 | 22/21 4/2* 2/1* | eq: -0.412 (-0.046) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.38% (G:2.48% B:0.18%)
70.62% (G:51.97% B:12.15%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.421...-0.404) - [0.0%]
Duration: 56 minutes 13 seconds |
|
| 8. | Rollout1 | 24/23 6/5 4/2* | eq: -0.413 (-0.046) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.37% (G:2.83% B:0.28%)
70.63% (G:47.82% B:9.99%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.419...-0.406) - [0.0%]
Duration: 48 minutes 54 seconds |
|
| 9. | Rollout1 | 6/5 4/2* 2/1* | eq: -0.413 (-0.046) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.34% (G:2.61% B:0.23%)
70.66% (G:51.18% B:12.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.421...-0.405) - [0.0%]
Duration: 53 minutes 50 seconds |
|
| 10. | Rollout2 | 9/7 3/2* 2/1* | eq: -0.419 (-0.052) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.04% (G:2.93% B:0.22%)
70.96% (G:48.90% B:10.45%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.426...-0.412) - [0.0%]
Duration: 51 minutes 51 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52672062
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62908879
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
