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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 25 June 2024, at 12:06 p.m.

In Response To: Early blitz cube action (Timothy Chow)

Blue has ten checkers in the zone, and White has two misplaced checkers on her 2pt, but that's about all Blue has going for him. I doubled here but XG laughed.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 142
Unlimited Game
pip: 157
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a----BDBA-A-eB---c-d-ABb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 60.27% (G:22.17% B:0.65%) 60.29% (G:22.41% B:0.65%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 39.73% (G:9.08% B:0.37%) 39.71% (G:8.99% B:0.36%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.339 +0.686
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.487±0.015 (+0.472..+0.502)
Double/Take:+0.360 (-0.127)±0.021 (+0.340..+0.381)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.513)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 19.8%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52672062
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 14 minutes 43 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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