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Rollout: Just another cube action problem

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Wednesday, 26 June 2024, at 5:25 p.m.

In Response To: Just another cube action problem (ah_clem)

Of the dozen or so players who voted I was the only one to see that this is a take. Tim seems to explain it as well as anyone could.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 127
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 128
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--BAAbE-B---aB--babbcbB---:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.66% (G:10.87% B:0.38%) 74.84% (G:10.79% B:0.40%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.34% (G:3.27% B:0.09%) 25.16% (G:3.37% B:0.10%)
Cubeless Equities +0.572 +1.148
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.881 (-0.093)±0.010 (+0.871..+0.890)
xg Double/Take:+0.973±0.013 (+0.960..+0.986)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.027)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 46 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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